Very high probability of passing; typically correlates to a strong 3-digit score.
The community had spent months aggregating data to create "best-fit" lines for these leaked forms. Alex found the consensus: nbme 9 offline score conversion
Does this match the table? Approximately. However, this formula breaks down at extreme ends (very high or very low scores). The NBME curve is not perfectly linear. For scores above 170 correct, the curve flattens (you need more raw points to gain 1 3-digit point). For scores below 100 correct, the formula overestimates. Very high probability of passing; typically correlates to
While the NBME updates its equating, the relative difficulty of Form 9 compared to Form 10/11 has remained stable for years. Thousands of students have validated these conversion tables against their real Step 1 scores. The correlation is approximately r=0.85 , which is very strong for a medical school exam. Approximately
Converting these offline results is part science, part community crowdsourcing. Here is everything you need to navigate the math and the mindset of NBME 9. 1. The "Magic" Formula
Based on collective data from medical student forums and score predictor tools, here is a general breakdown of how raw percentage correct typically translates to a 3-digit Step 2 CK score for Form 9: Percentage Correct Estimated 3-Digit Score Interpretation 255 – 265+ Highly Competitive 80% – 84% 240 – 254 Strong Performance 75% – 79% 230 – 239 Solid/Above Average 70% – 74% 215 – 229 Average/Passing 65% – 69% 200 – 214 Borderline/Low Pass < 65% At Risk of Failing Key Considerations for NBME 9
